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Winter weather forecast for Austin

Prepare for winter weather in Austin with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks.

The Austin skyline as seen from Lady Bird Lake, with buildings reflected in the water.

Winter is on the way, weather you like it or not.

Photo by ATXtoday

We know the question on your mind, Austinites — when’s it going to get cold again? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for December, January, and February.

While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what winter will bring.

Reminder: The first day of winter is on Wednesday, Dec. 21.

A graphic of the United States with colors depicting whether temperatures will be hotter or colder than average this winter.

Prepare for a warmer-than-average winter this season, Austin.

Map via NOAA.

🌡️ Temperature

Think warm. This winter, Austin has a 40-50% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.

🌨️ Precipitation

Expect slightly less precipitation. The Capital City has a 40-50% chance of seeing below normal rainfall amounts this winter.

☀️ Drought

Bad news, Austin — drought conditions are expected to persist this season.

Dive into December

In a typical year, December in Austin means mild temperatures and minimal rainfall. The average temperature for the month is ~60ºperfect for an afternoon stroll along Lady Bird Lake. Although this month got off to a warmer-than-average start, cold-weather lovers can rejoice: a cold front is sweeping in next week and bringing our days back down into the 50s and 60s.

Jumping to January

Although it’s too far out to know for sure, January weather tends to mirror December in ATX. Temperatures are expected to range in the 40s and 50s, and average yearly snowfall typically amounts to a whopping 10 mm.

February’s forecast

Recent years may be exceptions to this trend (see: Winter Storm Uri), but February is actually the second-coldest month in Austin on average, behind January. Temperatures typically stay between 40º-60º, and precipitation is sparse: average levels amount to 5 mm of snow and 23 mm of rain.

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